**Forecast consensus from official Russian meteorological sources and international models points to a daytime high of 19–20°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under variable cloud cover, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure.** This pattern limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered near these values. Recent model runs show minimal warm-air advection and only low precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where highs typically range 18–22°C but current steering patterns favor the lower end. The 19°C and 20°C outcomes together capture over 85% of market-implied probability because ensemble guidance and local forecasts (Hydrometeorological Center and equivalents) have converged on this narrow range with little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours. Uncertainties remain modest and center on exact cloud timing and any minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, but no developments suggest a meaningful departure from the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
19°C 49%
20°C 38%
18°C 9%
21°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
49%
20°C
38%
21°C
6%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 49%
20°C 38%
18°C 9%
21°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
13°C or below
$179 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$102 Vol.
3%
18°C
$311 Vol.
9%
19°C
$867 Vol.
49%
20°C
$183 Vol.
38%
21°C
$134 Vol.
6%
22°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$102 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official Russian meteorological sources and international models points to a daytime high of 19–20°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under variable cloud cover, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure.**
This pattern limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered near these values. Recent model runs show minimal warm-air advection and only low precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where highs typically range 18–22°C but current steering patterns favor the lower end.
The 19°C and 20°C outcomes together capture over 85% of market-implied probability because ensemble guidance and local forecasts (Hydrometeorological Center and equivalents) have converged on this narrow range with little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours. Uncertainties remain modest and center on exact cloud timing and any minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, but no developments suggest a meaningful departure from the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,663End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official Russian meteorological sources and international models points to a daytime high of 19–20°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under variable cloud cover, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure.**
This pattern limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered near these values. Recent model runs show minimal warm-air advection and only low precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where highs typically range 18–22°C but current steering patterns favor the lower end.
The 19°C and 20°C outcomes together capture over 85% of market-implied probability because ensemble guidance and local forecasts (Hydrometeorological Center and equivalents) have converged on this narrow range with little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours. Uncertainties remain modest and center on exact cloud timing and any minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, but no developments suggest a meaningful departure from the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,663End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official Russian meteorological sources and international models points to a daytime high of 19–20°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under variable cloud cover, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure.** This pattern limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered near these values. Recent model runs show minimal warm-air advection and only low precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where highs typically range 18–22°C but current steering patterns favor the lower end. The 19°C and 20°C outcomes together capture over 85% of market-implied probability because ensemble guidance and local forecasts (Hydrometeorological Center and equivalents) have converged on this narrow range with little day-to-day shift in the past 48 hours. Uncertainties remain modest and center on exact cloud timing and any minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, but no developments suggest a meaningful departure from the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions