Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds of 2–8 m/s will drive Moscow's minimum temperature into the 7–10 °C range on August 27. Stable high pressure near 753–755 mmHg and dew points around 7–10 °C support efficient heat loss after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or urban heat effects could limit the drop. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.4 °C, making the current setup anomalously cool and explaining the tight market clustering around 7–9 °C. Model consensus remains narrow, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the minimum and the official station reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
7°C 92%
10°C 51%
8°C 40%
9°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
92%
8°C
40%
9°C
36%
10°C
28%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
7°C 92%
10°C 51%
8°C 40%
9°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
$182 Vol.
2%
7°C
$85 Vol.
92%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
36%
10°C
$10 Vol.
28%
11°C
$207 Vol.
1%
12°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds of 2–8 m/s will drive Moscow's minimum temperature into the 7–10 °C range on August 27. Stable high pressure near 753–755 mmHg and dew points around 7–10 °C support efficient heat loss after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or urban heat effects could limit the drop. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.4 °C, making the current setup anomalously cool and explaining the tight market clustering around 7–9 °C. Model consensus remains narrow, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the minimum and the official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$883End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds of 2–8 m/s will drive Moscow's minimum temperature into the 7–10 °C range on August 27. Stable high pressure near 753–755 mmHg and dew points around 7–10 °C support efficient heat loss after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or urban heat effects could limit the drop. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.4 °C, making the current setup anomalously cool and explaining the tight market clustering around 7–9 °C. Model consensus remains narrow, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the minimum and the official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$883End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds of 2–8 m/s will drive Moscow's minimum temperature into the 7–10 °C range on August 27. Stable high pressure near 753–755 mmHg and dew points around 7–10 °C support efficient heat loss after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or urban heat effects could limit the drop. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.4 °C, making the current setup anomalously cool and explaining the tight market clustering around 7–9 °C. Model consensus remains narrow, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of the minimum and the official station reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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