Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's overnight low for August 27 in the 12–14°C range, aligning with trader consensus on those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and 30–50% rain chances produces typical diurnal swings of 8–12°C, moderated by August's rainy-season humidity and cloud cover that limits extreme drops. Minor model variations in exact timing of clearing or dew-point levels differentiate the narrow 12°C versus 14°C thresholds, while historical August averages near 10–13°C provide context for the low likelihood of sub-11°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance later today could refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
13°C 51%
16°C 49%
10°C 31%
14°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
31%
11°C
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
37%
14°C
29%
15°C
24%
16°C
49%
17°C
11%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 51%
16°C 49%
10°C 31%
14°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
9°C or below
$102 Vol.
1%
10°C
$20 Vol.
31%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$10 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$20 Vol.
49%
17°C
$42 Vol.
11%
18°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's overnight low for August 27 in the 12–14°C range, aligning with trader consensus on those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and 30–50% rain chances produces typical diurnal swings of 8–12°C, moderated by August's rainy-season humidity and cloud cover that limits extreme drops. Minor model variations in exact timing of clearing or dew-point levels differentiate the narrow 12°C versus 14°C thresholds, while historical August averages near 10–13°C provide context for the low likelihood of sub-11°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance later today could refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$267End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's overnight low for August 27 in the 12–14°C range, aligning with trader consensus on those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and 30–50% rain chances produces typical diurnal swings of 8–12°C, moderated by August's rainy-season humidity and cloud cover that limits extreme drops. Minor model variations in exact timing of clearing or dew-point levels differentiate the narrow 12°C versus 14°C thresholds, while historical August averages near 10–13°C provide context for the low likelihood of sub-11°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance later today could refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$267End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's overnight low for August 27 in the 12–14°C range, aligning with trader consensus on those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and 30–50% rain chances produces typical diurnal swings of 8–12°C, moderated by August's rainy-season humidity and cloud cover that limits extreme drops. Minor model variations in exact timing of clearing or dew-point levels differentiate the narrow 12°C versus 14°C thresholds, while historical August averages near 10–13°C provide context for the low likelihood of sub-11°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance later today could refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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