Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 91°F in Miami today under mostly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Southeast winds of 5-10 mph and typical late-August humidity support peak readings in the lower 90s before any convection develops, aligning with the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 82°F with dew points around 75-76°F, setting up strong diurnal heating. Thunderstorm timing remains the key variable that could trim the maximum if activity arrives earlier than expected, though current guidance favors the 90-93°F range dominating trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 27?
90-91°F 57%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 3%
86-87°F 2%
$19,150 Vol.
$19,150 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
57%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 57%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 3%
86-87°F 2%
$19,150 Vol.
$19,150 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
57%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 91°F in Miami today under mostly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Southeast winds of 5-10 mph and typical late-August humidity support peak readings in the lower 90s before any convection develops, aligning with the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Recent observations show overnight lows near 82°F with dew points around 75-76°F, setting up strong diurnal heating. Thunderstorm timing remains the key variable that could trim the maximum if activity arrives earlier than expected, though current guidance favors the 90-93°F range dominating trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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