Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Guangzhou on August 27, driven by subtropical monsoon moisture and thunderstorms, are limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models consistently project lows in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity near 90% and light winds, which reduce the diurnal temperature swing compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 26°C as the leading outcome while assigning low probability to cooler values below 23°C, which would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not supported by current observations. Historical August averages for the date hover around 25°C, but ongoing precipitation favors slightly warmer minima. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
23°C 82%
26°C 63%
24°C 34%
22°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
12%
23°C
82%
24°C
34%
25°C
37%
26°C
63%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 82%
26°C 63%
24°C 34%
22°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$27 Vol.
1%
22°C
$157 Vol.
12%
23°C
$29 Vol.
82%
24°C
$8 Vol.
34%
25°C
$5 Vol.
37%
26°C
$34 Vol.
63%
27°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Guangzhou on August 27, driven by subtropical monsoon moisture and thunderstorms, are limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models consistently project lows in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity near 90% and light winds, which reduce the diurnal temperature swing compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 26°C as the leading outcome while assigning low probability to cooler values below 23°C, which would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not supported by current observations. Historical August averages for the date hover around 25°C, but ongoing precipitation favors slightly warmer minima. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$819End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Guangzhou on August 27, driven by subtropical monsoon moisture and thunderstorms, are limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models consistently project lows in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity near 90% and light winds, which reduce the diurnal temperature swing compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 26°C as the leading outcome while assigning low probability to cooler values below 23°C, which would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not supported by current observations. Historical August averages for the date hover around 25°C, but ongoing precipitation favors slightly warmer minima. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$819End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Guangzhou on August 27, driven by subtropical monsoon moisture and thunderstorms, are limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. Official forecasts from multiple models consistently project lows in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity near 90% and light winds, which reduce the diurnal temperature swing compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 26°C as the leading outcome while assigning low probability to cooler values below 23°C, which would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not supported by current observations. Historical August averages for the date hover around 25°C, but ongoing precipitation favors slightly warmer minima. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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