**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources position the overnight low in Chengdu near 25–26°C on August 27, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 52% implied probability.** Late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature high humidity (often 70–90%), light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs reached 31–34°C. Official and model guidance, including nighttime minima around 24.8–26°C from sources such as LUFT TIME and the Met Office, reflect typical post-monsoon patterns with scattered thunderstorms that can moderate temperature drops. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where urban heat retention and basin topography often keep lows several degrees above surrounding rural areas. No significant model shifts have altered this consensus in the past 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
24°C 32%
25°C 23%
22°C 21%
23°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
21%
23°C
1%
24°C
32%
25°C
23%
26°C
56%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
25°C 23%
22°C 21%
23°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$35 Vol.
1%
21°C
$216 Vol.
1%
22°C
$150 Vol.
21%
23°C
$34 Vol.
1%
24°C
$75 Vol.
32%
25°C
$93 Vol.
23%
26°C
$151 Vol.
56%
27°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources position the overnight low in Chengdu near 25–26°C on August 27, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 52% implied probability.** Late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature high humidity (often 70–90%), light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs reached 31–34°C. Official and model guidance, including nighttime minima around 24.8–26°C from sources such as LUFT TIME and the Met Office, reflect typical post-monsoon patterns with scattered thunderstorms that can moderate temperature drops. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where urban heat retention and basin topography often keep lows several degrees above surrounding rural areas. No significant model shifts have altered this consensus in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,434End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources position the overnight low in Chengdu near 25–26°C on August 27, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 52% implied probability.** Late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature high humidity (often 70–90%), light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs reached 31–34°C. Official and model guidance, including nighttime minima around 24.8–26°C from sources such as LUFT TIME and the Met Office, reflect typical post-monsoon patterns with scattered thunderstorms that can moderate temperature drops. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where urban heat retention and basin topography often keep lows several degrees above surrounding rural areas. No significant model shifts have altered this consensus in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,434End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources position the overnight low in Chengdu near 25–26°C on August 27, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 52% implied probability.** Late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature high humidity (often 70–90%), light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs reached 31–34°C. Official and model guidance, including nighttime minima around 24.8–26°C from sources such as LUFT TIME and the Met Office, reflect typical post-monsoon patterns with scattered thunderstorms that can moderate temperature drops. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the primary Chengdu meteorological station, where urban heat retention and basin topography often keep lows several degrees above surrounding rural areas. No significant model shifts have altered this consensus in the past 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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