**Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorm activity forecast for August 28 are keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s°C range, driving trader consensus toward 24–26°C.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show high humidity (often above 80–90% at night) and frequent rain suppressing radiative cooling, with lows projected between 23–25°C depending on exact precipitation timing and urban heat retention in Chengdu. Recent days of similar convective patterns have produced comparable minima around 24–25°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where moist monsoon influences limit diurnal temperature swings. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing overnight or variations in steering winds affecting storm placement, with official station readings resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
27°C 42%
29°C or higher 41%
26°C 38%
23°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
36%
24°C
31%
25°C
47%
26°C
38%
27°C
42%
28°C
32%
29°C or higher
41%
27°C 42%
29°C or higher 41%
26°C 38%
23°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$152 Vol.
1%
20°C
$63 Vol.
1%
21°C
$162 Vol.
1%
22°C
$47 Vol.
7%
23°C
$2 Vol.
36%
24°C
$2 Vol.
31%
25°C
$2 Vol.
47%
26°C
$2 Vol.
38%
27°C
$2 Vol.
42%
28°C
$2 Vol.
32%
29°C or higher
$130 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorm activity forecast for August 28 are keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s°C range, driving trader consensus toward 24–26°C.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show high humidity (often above 80–90% at night) and frequent rain suppressing radiative cooling, with lows projected between 23–25°C depending on exact precipitation timing and urban heat retention in Chengdu. Recent days of similar convective patterns have produced comparable minima around 24–25°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where moist monsoon influences limit diurnal temperature swings. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing overnight or variations in steering winds affecting storm placement, with official station readings resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$567End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorm activity forecast for August 28 are keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s°C range, driving trader consensus toward 24–26°C.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show high humidity (often above 80–90% at night) and frequent rain suppressing radiative cooling, with lows projected between 23–25°C depending on exact precipitation timing and urban heat retention in Chengdu. Recent days of similar convective patterns have produced comparable minima around 24–25°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where moist monsoon influences limit diurnal temperature swings. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing overnight or variations in steering winds affecting storm placement, with official station readings resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$567End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorm activity forecast for August 28 are keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s°C range, driving trader consensus toward 24–26°C.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show high humidity (often above 80–90% at night) and frequent rain suppressing radiative cooling, with lows projected between 23–25°C depending on exact precipitation timing and urban heat retention in Chengdu. Recent days of similar convective patterns have produced comparable minima around 24–25°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where moist monsoon influences limit diurnal temperature swings. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing overnight or variations in steering winds affecting storm placement, with official station readings resolving the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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