Tropical Panama City's overnight minimum temperatures on August 26 hinged on cloud cover, humidity, and convective activity during the wet season, with regional forecasts indicating lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Model runs showed modest uncertainty from variable trade-wind strength and localized rainfall timing, which can suppress or allow radiational cooling and produce 1–3°C spreads in the daily minimum. Trader consensus clustered tightly around 21–26°C outcomes, reflecting historical August baselines of 24°C alongside short-term forecast revisions that narrowed the range without resolving finer thresholds. Official station data from nearby sites confirmed conditions consistent with these central probabilities ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
21°C 98%
22°C 98%
23°C 98%
25°C 20%
$1,598 Vol.
$1,598 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
14%
21°C
98%
22°C
98%
23°C
98%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 98%
22°C 98%
23°C 98%
25°C 20%
$1,598 Vol.
$1,598 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$135 Vol.
14%
21°C
$5 Vol.
98%
22°C
$27 Vol.
98%
23°C
$20 Vol.
98%
24°C
$28 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$9 Vol.
51%
27°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$801 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$57 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tropical Panama City's overnight minimum temperatures on August 26 hinged on cloud cover, humidity, and convective activity during the wet season, with regional forecasts indicating lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Model runs showed modest uncertainty from variable trade-wind strength and localized rainfall timing, which can suppress or allow radiational cooling and produce 1–3°C spreads in the daily minimum. Trader consensus clustered tightly around 21–26°C outcomes, reflecting historical August baselines of 24°C alongside short-term forecast revisions that narrowed the range without resolving finer thresholds. Official station data from nearby sites confirmed conditions consistent with these central probabilities ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,598End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tropical Panama City's overnight minimum temperatures on August 26 hinged on cloud cover, humidity, and convective activity during the wet season, with regional forecasts indicating lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Model runs showed modest uncertainty from variable trade-wind strength and localized rainfall timing, which can suppress or allow radiational cooling and produce 1–3°C spreads in the daily minimum. Trader consensus clustered tightly around 21–26°C outcomes, reflecting historical August baselines of 24°C alongside short-term forecast revisions that narrowed the range without resolving finer thresholds. Official station data from nearby sites confirmed conditions consistent with these central probabilities ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,598End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tropical Panama City's overnight minimum temperatures on August 26 hinged on cloud cover, humidity, and convective activity during the wet season, with regional forecasts indicating lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Model runs showed modest uncertainty from variable trade-wind strength and localized rainfall timing, which can suppress or allow radiational cooling and produce 1–3°C spreads in the daily minimum. Trader consensus clustered tightly around 21–26°C outcomes, reflecting historical August baselines of 24°C alongside short-term forecast revisions that narrowed the range without resolving finer thresholds. Official station data from nearby sites confirmed conditions consistent with these central probabilities ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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