Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Panama City, Panama, as afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms—driven by high moisture content and diurnal heating—limit further warming despite typical wet-season insolation. Official guidance highlights partly cloudy conditions with 60–85% precipitation probability after midday, which historically caps peak readings below clear-sky potential by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud shading. This aligns with climatological August averages around 31–32°C at local stations, where trade-wind patterns and orographic lift promote rapid cloud buildup. Updated runs showing slightly stronger instability have reinforced trader focus on the 32–33°C outcomes over higher thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 27?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 27?
33°C 50%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
29%
33°C
50%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 50%
32°C 29%
34°C 16%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
$208 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$166 Vol.
1%
30°C
$412 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,010 Vol.
7%
32°C
$368 Vol.
29%
33°C
$1,130 Vol.
50%
34°C
$496 Vol.
16%
35°C
$75 Vol.
1%
36°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,408 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Panama City, Panama, as afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms—driven by high moisture content and diurnal heating—limit further warming despite typical wet-season insolation. Official guidance highlights partly cloudy conditions with 60–85% precipitation probability after midday, which historically caps peak readings below clear-sky potential by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud shading. This aligns with climatological August averages around 31–32°C at local stations, where trade-wind patterns and orographic lift promote rapid cloud buildup. Updated runs showing slightly stronger instability have reinforced trader focus on the 32–33°C outcomes over higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$5,449End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Panama City, Panama, as afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms—driven by high moisture content and diurnal heating—limit further warming despite typical wet-season insolation. Official guidance highlights partly cloudy conditions with 60–85% precipitation probability after midday, which historically caps peak readings below clear-sky potential by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud shading. This aligns with climatological August averages around 31–32°C at local stations, where trade-wind patterns and orographic lift promote rapid cloud buildup. Updated runs showing slightly stronger instability have reinforced trader focus on the 32–33°C outcomes over higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,449End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Panama City, Panama, as afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms—driven by high moisture content and diurnal heating—limit further warming despite typical wet-season insolation. Official guidance highlights partly cloudy conditions with 60–85% precipitation probability after midday, which historically caps peak readings below clear-sky potential by enhancing evaporative cooling and cloud shading. This aligns with climatological August averages around 31–32°C at local stations, where trade-wind patterns and orographic lift promote rapid cloud buildup. Updated runs showing slightly stronger instability have reinforced trader focus on the 32–33°C outcomes over higher thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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