Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered showers will limit daytime heating in Paris on August 28, positioning a maximum near 23–24 °C as the most likely outcome. Southwest winds around 10–15 mph and modest instability following warmer, stormier conditions on the 27th further cap temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 24.2 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 23 °C (39.5 %) and 24 °C (25.5 %) shares aligns with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 22 °C or 25 °C+ capture remaining model spread and timing uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 28?
23°C 40%
24°C 27%
22°C 22%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
22%
23°C
40%
24°C
27%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 40%
24°C 27%
22°C 22%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$162 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$191 Vol.
2%
21°C
$647 Vol.
8%
22°C
$1,058 Vol.
22%
23°C
$775 Vol.
40%
24°C
$876 Vol.
27%
25°C
$413 Vol.
7%
26°C or higher
$204 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered showers will limit daytime heating in Paris on August 28, positioning a maximum near 23–24 °C as the most likely outcome. Southwest winds around 10–15 mph and modest instability following warmer, stormier conditions on the 27th further cap temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 24.2 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 23 °C (39.5 %) and 24 °C (25.5 %) shares aligns with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 22 °C or 25 °C+ capture remaining model spread and timing uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,573End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered showers will limit daytime heating in Paris on August 28, positioning a maximum near 23–24 °C as the most likely outcome. Southwest winds around 10–15 mph and modest instability following warmer, stormier conditions on the 27th further cap temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 24.2 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 23 °C (39.5 %) and 24 °C (25.5 %) shares aligns with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 22 °C or 25 °C+ capture remaining model spread and timing uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,573End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered showers will limit daytime heating in Paris on August 28, positioning a maximum near 23–24 °C as the most likely outcome. Southwest winds around 10–15 mph and modest instability following warmer, stormier conditions on the 27th further cap temperatures below the late-August climatological average of 24.2 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 23 °C (39.5 %) and 24 °C (25.5 %) shares aligns with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 22 °C or 25 °C+ capture remaining model spread and timing uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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