Forecast models from agencies like MetService New Zealand point to a mild winter day in Wellington on August 28, with daytime highs likely reaching 15°C as the most probable outcome under a northerly flow and reduced cloud cover. This aligns with climatological baselines for late August, when average maxima hover near 13–14°C, but recent ensemble runs from global models show warmer-than-normal advection suppressing cooler southerly intrusions. Traders have priced 15°C highest at over 60 percent implied probability due to tight model consensus, while 14°C and 16°C capture residual spread from minor timing or localized wind variations. Updated observations from the past 48 hours reinforce stable high-pressure influence without major frontal passages expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
15°C 61%
16°C 30%
14°C 10%
17°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
61%
16°C
30%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 61%
16°C 30%
14°C 10%
17°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$667 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$642 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,158 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,038 Vol.
10%
15°C
$975 Vol.
61%
16°C
$1,168 Vol.
30%
17°C
$667 Vol.
4%
18°C
$689 Vol.
1%
19°C
$646 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like MetService New Zealand point to a mild winter day in Wellington on August 28, with daytime highs likely reaching 15°C as the most probable outcome under a northerly flow and reduced cloud cover. This aligns with climatological baselines for late August, when average maxima hover near 13–14°C, but recent ensemble runs from global models show warmer-than-normal advection suppressing cooler southerly intrusions. Traders have priced 15°C highest at over 60 percent implied probability due to tight model consensus, while 14°C and 16°C capture residual spread from minor timing or localized wind variations. Updated observations from the past 48 hours reinforce stable high-pressure influence without major frontal passages expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,726End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like MetService New Zealand point to a mild winter day in Wellington on August 28, with daytime highs likely reaching 15°C as the most probable outcome under a northerly flow and reduced cloud cover. This aligns with climatological baselines for late August, when average maxima hover near 13–14°C, but recent ensemble runs from global models show warmer-than-normal advection suppressing cooler southerly intrusions. Traders have priced 15°C highest at over 60 percent implied probability due to tight model consensus, while 14°C and 16°C capture residual spread from minor timing or localized wind variations. Updated observations from the past 48 hours reinforce stable high-pressure influence without major frontal passages expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,726End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like MetService New Zealand point to a mild winter day in Wellington on August 28, with daytime highs likely reaching 15°C as the most probable outcome under a northerly flow and reduced cloud cover. This aligns with climatological baselines for late August, when average maxima hover near 13–14°C, but recent ensemble runs from global models show warmer-than-normal advection suppressing cooler southerly intrusions. Traders have priced 15°C highest at over 60 percent implied probability due to tight model consensus, while 14°C and 16°C capture residual spread from minor timing or localized wind variations. Updated observations from the past 48 hours reinforce stable high-pressure influence without major frontal passages expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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