Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 22°C in Beijing on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited radiative cooling overnight under humid conditions with light northerly winds. This aligns with the market's 99% implied probability on 22°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable boundary-layer temperatures near the seasonal average low of approximately 20°C. Historical data shows August minima rarely dip below 17°C without stronger cold-air advection. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow greater overnight cooling, though ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
22°C 99%
20°C 2%
21°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
$12,854 Vol.
NEW
$12,854 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
99%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99%
20°C 2%
21°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
$12,854 Vol.
NEW
$12,854 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
$225 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$202 Vol.
1%
19°C
$88 Vol.
1%
20°C
$166 Vol.
2%
21°C
$91 Vol.
1%
22°C
$741 Vol.
99%
23°C
$9,705 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,455 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$72 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 22°C in Beijing on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited radiative cooling overnight under humid conditions with light northerly winds. This aligns with the market's 99% implied probability on 22°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable boundary-layer temperatures near the seasonal average low of approximately 20°C. Historical data shows August minima rarely dip below 17°C without stronger cold-air advection. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow greater overnight cooling, though ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,854End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 22°C in Beijing on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited radiative cooling overnight under humid conditions with light northerly winds. This aligns with the market's 99% implied probability on 22°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable boundary-layer temperatures near the seasonal average low of approximately 20°C. Historical data shows August minima rarely dip below 17°C without stronger cold-air advection. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow greater overnight cooling, though ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,854End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 22°C in Beijing on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited radiative cooling overnight under humid conditions with light northerly winds. This aligns with the market's 99% implied probability on 22°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable boundary-layer temperatures near the seasonal average low of approximately 20°C. Historical data shows August minima rarely dip below 17°C without stronger cold-air advection. A rapid clearing of skies or unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow greater overnight cooling, though ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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