Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show Beijing under a rain-cooled regime on August 28, with cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 24–25 °C. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system are advecting cooler, moister air while reducing insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the 29–30 °C peaks observed on August 27. Ensemble spread in high-resolution guidance creates the tight market between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes. The China Meteorological Administration’s final station observations will determine resolution once the 24-hour period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
25°C 37%
24°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
17%
24°C
29%
25°C
37%
26°C
13%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 37%
24°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$289 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$38 Vol.
2%
22°C
$295 Vol.
5%
23°C
$853 Vol.
17%
24°C
$663 Vol.
29%
25°C
$715 Vol.
37%
26°C
$681 Vol.
13%
27°C
$373 Vol.
5%
28°C
$257 Vol.
3%
29°C
$372 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$619 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show Beijing under a rain-cooled regime on August 28, with cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 24–25 °C. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system are advecting cooler, moister air while reducing insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the 29–30 °C peaks observed on August 27. Ensemble spread in high-resolution guidance creates the tight market between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes. The China Meteorological Administration’s final station observations will determine resolution once the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,155End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show Beijing under a rain-cooled regime on August 28, with cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 24–25 °C. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system are advecting cooler, moister air while reducing insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the 29–30 °C peaks observed on August 27. Ensemble spread in high-resolution guidance creates the tight market between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes. The China Meteorological Administration’s final station observations will determine resolution once the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,155End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show Beijing under a rain-cooled regime on August 28, with cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating and supporting a daily maximum near 24–25 °C. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system are advecting cooler, moister air while reducing insolation, keeping surface temperatures well below the 29–30 °C peaks observed on August 27. Ensemble spread in high-resolution guidance creates the tight market between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes. The China Meteorological Administration’s final station observations will determine resolution once the 24-hour period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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