Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a high of 33°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few showers, isolated thunderstorms early, and sunny intervals later, supporting trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes. West to southwest winds of 2–3 on the Beaufort scale, combined with 65–95% relative humidity, will modulate daytime heating while recent regional low-pressure influences sustain moisture and convective potential. Differentiation between 32°C and 33°C hinges on afternoon cloud breaks and shower timing: stronger solar insolation under clearer intervals could push peaks to 33°C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would limit surface warming near 32°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
32°C 42%
33°C 36%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
$22,424 Vol.
$22,424 Vol.
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C
42%
33°C
36%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 36%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
$22,424 Vol.
$22,424 Vol.
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C
42%
33°C
36%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 29 project a high of 33°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few showers, isolated thunderstorms early, and sunny intervals later, supporting trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes. West to southwest winds of 2–3 on the Beaufort scale, combined with 65–95% relative humidity, will modulate daytime heating while recent regional low-pressure influences sustain moisture and convective potential. Differentiation between 32°C and 33°C hinges on afternoon cloud breaks and shower timing: stronger solar insolation under clearer intervals could push peaks to 33°C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would limit surface warming near 32°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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