Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance project a Denver high near 90°F on August 30, with partly sunny skies giving way to afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. At Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, afternoon convective development along the Front Range often caps maximum temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 86–89°F. Differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact storm timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether westerly downslope flow strengthens before convection initiates. Updated model runs overnight and early morning observations will narrow this spread before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 30?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 30?
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 29%
90-91°F 15%
84-85°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 29%
90-91°F 15%
84-85°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$290 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$110 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$39 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$452 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$153 Vol.
29%
88-89°F
$652 Vol.
33%
90-91°F
$283 Vol.
15%
92-93°F
$90 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$60 Vol.
2%
96°F or higher
$155 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance project a Denver high near 90°F on August 30, with partly sunny skies giving way to afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. At Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, afternoon convective development along the Front Range often caps maximum temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 86–89°F. Differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact storm timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether westerly downslope flow strengthens before convection initiates. Updated model runs overnight and early morning observations will narrow this spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,601End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance project a Denver high near 90°F on August 30, with partly sunny skies giving way to afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. At Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, afternoon convective development along the Front Range often caps maximum temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 86–89°F. Differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact storm timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether westerly downslope flow strengthens before convection initiates. Updated model runs overnight and early morning observations will narrow this spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,601End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance project a Denver high near 90°F on August 30, with partly sunny skies giving way to afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. At Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, afternoon convective development along the Front Range often caps maximum temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 86–89°F. Differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact storm timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether westerly downslope flow strengthens before convection initiates. Updated model runs overnight and early morning observations will narrow this spread before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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