Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles indicate a high near 23–25°C in Munich on August 29, 2026, as a cooler Atlantic air mass arrives behind earlier warmth. Westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress peaks compared with the 28–30°C range forecast for preceding days. Historical climatology shows a late-August mean high of 22.8°C, placing the current guidance slightly above average yet well below recent heat. Model spread and timing of any clearing create the tight clustering around 24–25°C in trader pricing, with modest probability retained for 26°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 29?
25°C 30%
24°C 25%
26°C 17%
23°C 13%
19°C or below
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
13%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C
17%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 25%
26°C 17%
23°C 13%
19°C or below
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
13%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C
17%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles indicate a high near 23–25°C in Munich on August 29, 2026, as a cooler Atlantic air mass arrives behind earlier warmth. Westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress peaks compared with the 28–30°C range forecast for preceding days. Historical climatology shows a late-August mean high of 22.8°C, placing the current guidance slightly above average yet well below recent heat. Model spread and timing of any clearing create the tight clustering around 24–25°C in trader pricing, with modest probability retained for 26°C if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions