Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 28 near 28–29 °C, driven by diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies before scattered thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. Northwest winds and increasing mid-level instability are expected to limit peak values through enhanced mixing and cloud cover, consistent with the market’s tight spread between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Historical August maxima in the city average 22.9 °C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth tempered by convective cooling. Traders are weighting the precise timing of storm initiation, as earlier or more intense activity could cap readings below 29 °C while delayed development might allow brief spikes toward 30 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the day will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 28?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 28?
29°C 25%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
NEW
$10,213 Vol.
NEW
$10,213 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
22%
29°C
25%
30°C
17%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 25%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
NEW
$10,213 Vol.
NEW
$10,213 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$177 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$239 Vol.
1%
25°C
$461 Vol.
3%
26°C
$514 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,245 Vol.
12%
28°C
$1,750 Vol.
22%
29°C
$1,711 Vol.
25%
30°C
$1,938 Vol.
17%
31°C
$1,157 Vol.
8%
32°C
$340 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$682 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 28 near 28–29 °C, driven by diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies before scattered thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. Northwest winds and increasing mid-level instability are expected to limit peak values through enhanced mixing and cloud cover, consistent with the market’s tight spread between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Historical August maxima in the city average 22.9 °C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth tempered by convective cooling. Traders are weighting the precise timing of storm initiation, as earlier or more intense activity could cap readings below 29 °C while delayed development might allow brief spikes toward 30 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the day will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,213End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 28 near 28–29 °C, driven by diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies before scattered thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. Northwest winds and increasing mid-level instability are expected to limit peak values through enhanced mixing and cloud cover, consistent with the market’s tight spread between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Historical August maxima in the city average 22.9 °C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth tempered by convective cooling. Traders are weighting the precise timing of storm initiation, as earlier or more intense activity could cap readings below 29 °C while delayed development might allow brief spikes toward 30 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the day will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,213End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on August 28 near 28–29 °C, driven by diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies before scattered thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. Northwest winds and increasing mid-level instability are expected to limit peak values through enhanced mixing and cloud cover, consistent with the market’s tight spread between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Historical August maxima in the city average 22.9 °C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth tempered by convective cooling. Traders are weighting the precise timing of storm initiation, as earlier or more intense activity could cap readings below 29 °C while delayed development might allow brief spikes toward 30 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the day will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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