**Forecasts for Munich on August 28, 2026, point to an overnight low near 15–16°C, aligning with the market’s closely matched probabilities for 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the German Weather Service (DWD), Met Office, and numerical models consistently project a minimum of about 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible in the evening and overnight. Key scientific drivers include radiative cooling under variable cloud cover—thunderstorm outflow and increased humidity (around 70–80% at night) will limit how far temperatures drop after sunset—plus light to moderate westerly to southwesterly winds that reduce calm conditions favorable for stronger cooling. These factors differentiate the narrow range: clearer breaks could allow the mercury to dip toward 15°C or slightly below, while lingering clouds or rain keep it nearer 16–17°C. Recent days have featured above-average warmth (highs near 28–31°C), but no major synoptic shift has altered the expected overnight trend. Historical August 28 averages show a typical low near 12.8°C, so current model consensus reflects a modestly warmer setup without extreme deviation. With resolution just hours away, any final model update or observed conditions at the official station will decide the exact minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 28?
17°C 44%
16°C 44%
15°C 39%
18°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
11%
15°C
39%
16°C
44%
17°C
44%
18°C
19%
19°C
9%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 44%
16°C 44%
15°C 39%
18°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$42 Vol.
1%
13°C
$86 Vol.
7%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
44%
17°C
$0 Vol.
44%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$21 Vol.
9%
20°C
$50 Vol.
5%
21°C
$42 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Munich on August 28, 2026, point to an overnight low near 15–16°C, aligning with the market’s closely matched probabilities for 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the German Weather Service (DWD), Met Office, and numerical models consistently project a minimum of about 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible in the evening and overnight.
Key scientific drivers include radiative cooling under variable cloud cover—thunderstorm outflow and increased humidity (around 70–80% at night) will limit how far temperatures drop after sunset—plus light to moderate westerly to southwesterly winds that reduce calm conditions favorable for stronger cooling. These factors differentiate the narrow range: clearer breaks could allow the mercury to dip toward 15°C or slightly below, while lingering clouds or rain keep it nearer 16–17°C. Recent days have featured above-average warmth (highs near 28–31°C), but no major synoptic shift has altered the expected overnight trend.
Historical August 28 averages show a typical low near 12.8°C, so current model consensus reflects a modestly warmer setup without extreme deviation. With resolution just hours away, any final model update or observed conditions at the official station will decide the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$284End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Munich on August 28, 2026, point to an overnight low near 15–16°C, aligning with the market’s closely matched probabilities for 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the German Weather Service (DWD), Met Office, and numerical models consistently project a minimum of about 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible in the evening and overnight.
Key scientific drivers include radiative cooling under variable cloud cover—thunderstorm outflow and increased humidity (around 70–80% at night) will limit how far temperatures drop after sunset—plus light to moderate westerly to southwesterly winds that reduce calm conditions favorable for stronger cooling. These factors differentiate the narrow range: clearer breaks could allow the mercury to dip toward 15°C or slightly below, while lingering clouds or rain keep it nearer 16–17°C. Recent days have featured above-average warmth (highs near 28–31°C), but no major synoptic shift has altered the expected overnight trend.
Historical August 28 averages show a typical low near 12.8°C, so current model consensus reflects a modestly warmer setup without extreme deviation. With resolution just hours away, any final model update or observed conditions at the official station will decide the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Munich on August 28, 2026, point to an overnight low near 15–16°C, aligning with the market’s closely matched probabilities for 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the German Weather Service (DWD), Met Office, and numerical models consistently project a minimum of about 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible in the evening and overnight. Key scientific drivers include radiative cooling under variable cloud cover—thunderstorm outflow and increased humidity (around 70–80% at night) will limit how far temperatures drop after sunset—plus light to moderate westerly to southwesterly winds that reduce calm conditions favorable for stronger cooling. These factors differentiate the narrow range: clearer breaks could allow the mercury to dip toward 15°C or slightly below, while lingering clouds or rain keep it nearer 16–17°C. Recent days have featured above-average warmth (highs near 28–31°C), but no major synoptic shift has altered the expected overnight trend. Historical August 28 averages show a typical low near 12.8°C, so current model consensus reflects a modestly warmer setup without extreme deviation. With resolution just hours away, any final model update or observed conditions at the official station will decide the exact minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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