Current forecasts from major models indicate Munich's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, allowing moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30 °C. This range aligns with late-summer climatology while sitting above the 1991–2020 average low of 12.9 °C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and limited cloud cover that limits further temperature drops. Trader consensus around these values reflects the latest model runs showing little deviation expected before dawn, with probabilities for 12 °C or lower remaining low absent an unexpected cold-air surge or clearer skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
14°C 98%
12°C 7%
13°C 7%
11°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
7%
13°C
7%
14°C
98%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 98%
12°C 7%
13°C 7%
11°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
$39 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$709 Vol.
6%
12°C
$78 Vol.
7%
13°C
$88 Vol.
7%
14°C
$172 Vol.
98%
15°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$64 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate Munich's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, allowing moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30 °C. This range aligns with late-summer climatology while sitting above the 1991–2020 average low of 12.9 °C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and limited cloud cover that limits further temperature drops. Trader consensus around these values reflects the latest model runs showing little deviation expected before dawn, with probabilities for 12 °C or lower remaining low absent an unexpected cold-air surge or clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,025End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate Munich's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, allowing moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30 °C. This range aligns with late-summer climatology while sitting above the 1991–2020 average low of 12.9 °C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and limited cloud cover that limits further temperature drops. Trader consensus around these values reflects the latest model runs showing little deviation expected before dawn, with probabilities for 12 °C or lower remaining low absent an unexpected cold-air surge or clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,025End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models indicate Munich's overnight minimum on August 27 will likely settle near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, allowing moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30 °C. This range aligns with late-summer climatology while sitting above the 1991–2020 average low of 12.9 °C, reflecting warmer baseline conditions and limited cloud cover that limits further temperature drops. Trader consensus around these values reflects the latest model runs showing little deviation expected before dawn, with probabilities for 12 °C or lower remaining low absent an unexpected cold-air surge or clearer skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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