National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds and minimal afternoon convection, supporting highs near 95°F in Houston on August 30. Persistent mid-level ridging and typical late-summer humidity favor peak temperatures in the mid-90s, consistent with recent observations of 93–96°F amid a stable pattern. Low precipitation chances (under 20%) reduce cooling from clouds or storms, while sea-breeze effects remain modest. Trader positioning around 94–97°F reflects this high-confidence short-term outlook from NOAA guidance, with limited upside for extremes absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 30?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 30?
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
4%
102°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
83°F or below
$258 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$17 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$28 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$15 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$6 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$23 Vol.
12%
94-95°F
$343 Vol.
37%
96-97°F
$512 Vol.
34%
98-99°F
$63 Vol.
12%
100-101°F
$19 Vol.
4%
102°F or higher
$57 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds and minimal afternoon convection, supporting highs near 95°F in Houston on August 30. Persistent mid-level ridging and typical late-summer humidity favor peak temperatures in the mid-90s, consistent with recent observations of 93–96°F amid a stable pattern. Low precipitation chances (under 20%) reduce cooling from clouds or storms, while sea-breeze effects remain modest. Trader positioning around 94–97°F reflects this high-confidence short-term outlook from NOAA guidance, with limited upside for extremes absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,340End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds and minimal afternoon convection, supporting highs near 95°F in Houston on August 30. Persistent mid-level ridging and typical late-summer humidity favor peak temperatures in the mid-90s, consistent with recent observations of 93–96°F amid a stable pattern. Low precipitation chances (under 20%) reduce cooling from clouds or storms, while sea-breeze effects remain modest. Trader positioning around 94–97°F reflects this high-confidence short-term outlook from NOAA guidance, with limited upside for extremes absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,340End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds and minimal afternoon convection, supporting highs near 95°F in Houston on August 30. Persistent mid-level ridging and typical late-summer humidity favor peak temperatures in the mid-90s, consistent with recent observations of 93–96°F amid a stable pattern. Low precipitation chances (under 20%) reduce cooling from clouds or storms, while sea-breeze effects remain modest. Trader positioning around 94–97°F reflects this high-confidence short-term outlook from NOAA guidance, with limited upside for extremes absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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