**Trader sentiment clusters around 26–27°C minimums because these align closely with Panama City’s climatological August overnight lows of 24–26°C amid the rainy season.** Persistent cloud cover and frequent convective showers associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping dew points elevated near 24–25°C and preventing deeper temperature drops. Weakened trade winds and high boundary-layer moisture further suppress the diurnal range. Ensemble forecast spreads and model timing differences for showers on the 29th–30th create the tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C, while the low-probability tails (20°C or below, 30°C or higher) reflect the rarity of clear-sky radiative cooling or extreme warm-moisture advection under current El Niño-influenced patterns. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
30°C or higher 82%
20°C or below 80%
22°C 48%
27°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
80%
21°C
15%
22°C
48%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
35%
27°C
39%
28°C
25%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
82%
30°C or higher 82%
20°C or below 80%
22°C 48%
27°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
$15 Vol.
80%
21°C
$15 Vol.
15%
22°C
$15 Vol.
48%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C or higher
$15 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters around 26–27°C minimums because these align closely with Panama City’s climatological August overnight lows of 24–26°C amid the rainy season.** Persistent cloud cover and frequent convective showers associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping dew points elevated near 24–25°C and preventing deeper temperature drops. Weakened trade winds and high boundary-layer moisture further suppress the diurnal range. Ensemble forecast spreads and model timing differences for showers on the 29th–30th create the tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C, while the low-probability tails (20°C or below, 30°C or higher) reflect the rarity of clear-sky radiative cooling or extreme warm-moisture advection under current El Niño-influenced patterns. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$60End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters around 26–27°C minimums because these align closely with Panama City’s climatological August overnight lows of 24–26°C amid the rainy season.** Persistent cloud cover and frequent convective showers associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping dew points elevated near 24–25°C and preventing deeper temperature drops. Weakened trade winds and high boundary-layer moisture further suppress the diurnal range. Ensemble forecast spreads and model timing differences for showers on the 29th–30th create the tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C, while the low-probability tails (20°C or below, 30°C or higher) reflect the rarity of clear-sky radiative cooling or extreme warm-moisture advection under current El Niño-influenced patterns. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters around 26–27°C minimums because these align closely with Panama City’s climatological August overnight lows of 24–26°C amid the rainy season.** Persistent cloud cover and frequent convective showers associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping dew points elevated near 24–25°C and preventing deeper temperature drops. Weakened trade winds and high boundary-layer moisture further suppress the diurnal range. Ensemble forecast spreads and model timing differences for showers on the 29th–30th create the tight clustering between 26°C and 27°C, while the low-probability tails (20°C or below, 30°C or higher) reflect the rarity of clear-sky radiative cooling or extreme warm-moisture advection under current El Niño-influenced patterns. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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