Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus points to an overnight low in Buenos Aires near 8–10 °C on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and strong radiative cooling under a stable subtropical high. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 6 °C-or-below, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud cover or dew-point depression could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, while warmer scenarios remain less likely given the absence of significant warm-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows of 8–12 °C, placing current guidance near the cooler end of the distribution and keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
7°C 45%
9°C 41%
8°C 40%
12°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
44%
7°C
45%
8°C
40%
9°C
41%
10°C
27%
11°C
8%
12°C
36%
13°C
29%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
7%
7°C 45%
9°C 41%
8°C 40%
12°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$27 Vol.
44%
7°C
$0 Vol.
45%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
41%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$20 Vol.
8%
12°C
$20 Vol.
36%
13°C
$15 Vol.
29%
14°C
$15 Vol.
4%
15°C
$15 Vol.
8%
16°C or higher
$15 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus points to an overnight low in Buenos Aires near 8–10 °C on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and strong radiative cooling under a stable subtropical high. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 6 °C-or-below, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud cover or dew-point depression could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, while warmer scenarios remain less likely given the absence of significant warm-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows of 8–12 °C, placing current guidance near the cooler end of the distribution and keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$128End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus points to an overnight low in Buenos Aires near 8–10 °C on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and strong radiative cooling under a stable subtropical high. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 6 °C-or-below, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud cover or dew-point depression could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, while warmer scenarios remain less likely given the absence of significant warm-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows of 8–12 °C, placing current guidance near the cooler end of the distribution and keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$128End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus points to an overnight low in Buenos Aires near 8–10 °C on August 30, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly flow, and strong radiative cooling under a stable subtropical high. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 6 °C-or-below, 7 °C, and 8 °C outcomes because small differences in cloud cover or dew-point depression could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, while warmer scenarios remain less likely given the absence of significant warm-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city shows typical lows of 8–12 °C, placing current guidance near the cooler end of the distribution and keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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