Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor moderate radiational cooling. This setup, following a period of cooler-than-average August conditions, supports trader focus on the 8–12°C range, though spread-out odds reflect model differences in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing. The elevated probability on 2°C or below appears driven by tail-risk hedging against stronger cooling, while the 12°C-or-higher outcome captures upside from slightly stronger winds or residual cloud cover. Historical August minima average near 7°C, placing the current consensus in a milder regime with resolution hinging on the final overnight observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
2°C or below 68%
12°C or higher 56%
3°C 48%
4°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
2°C or below
68%
3°C
48%
4°C
48%
5°C
25%
6°C
27%
7°C
48%
8°C
48%
9°C
48%
10°C
33%
11°C
19%
12°C or higher
56%
2°C or below 68%
12°C or higher 56%
3°C 48%
4°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
2°C or below
$0 Vol.
68%
3°C
$0 Vol.
48%
4°C
$0 Vol.
48%
5°C
$0 Vol.
25%
6°C
$0 Vol.
27%
7°C
$0 Vol.
48%
8°C
$0 Vol.
48%
9°C
$0 Vol.
48%
10°C
$0 Vol.
33%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C or higher
$0 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor moderate radiational cooling. This setup, following a period of cooler-than-average August conditions, supports trader focus on the 8–12°C range, though spread-out odds reflect model differences in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing. The elevated probability on 2°C or below appears driven by tail-risk hedging against stronger cooling, while the 12°C-or-higher outcome captures upside from slightly stronger winds or residual cloud cover. Historical August minima average near 7°C, placing the current consensus in a milder regime with resolution hinging on the final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor moderate radiational cooling. This setup, following a period of cooler-than-average August conditions, supports trader focus on the 8–12°C range, though spread-out odds reflect model differences in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing. The elevated probability on 2°C or below appears driven by tail-risk hedging against stronger cooling, while the 12°C-or-higher outcome captures upside from slightly stronger winds or residual cloud cover. Historical August minima average near 7°C, placing the current consensus in a milder regime with resolution hinging on the final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 9–11°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor moderate radiational cooling. This setup, following a period of cooler-than-average August conditions, supports trader focus on the 8–12°C range, though spread-out odds reflect model differences in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing. The elevated probability on 2°C or below appears driven by tail-risk hedging against stronger cooling, while the 12°C-or-higher outcome captures upside from slightly stronger winds or residual cloud cover. Historical August minima average near 7°C, placing the current consensus in a milder regime with resolution hinging on the final overnight observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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