Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City highs centered on 30–32°C for August 29, driven by typical rainy-season convection that limits afternoon solar heating through cloud cover and scattered showers. Historical August maxima average near 31–32°C, with interannual variability of ±1–2°C tied to moisture anomalies and wind patterns; the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflects this narrow envelope plus uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of precipitation. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and satellite-derived instability indices will refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 29?
31°C 37%
32°C 31%
30°C 15%
33°C 15%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
25%
32°C
31%
33°C
15%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
32°C 31%
30°C 15%
33°C 15%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
25%
32°C
31%
33°C
15%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City highs centered on 30–32°C for August 29, driven by typical rainy-season convection that limits afternoon solar heating through cloud cover and scattered showers. Historical August maxima average near 31–32°C, with interannual variability of ±1–2°C tied to moisture anomalies and wind patterns; the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C reflects this narrow envelope plus uncertainty in exact timing and coverage of precipitation. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and satellite-derived instability indices will refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions