Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and dew points near 70°F overnight into August 29, supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s across Dallas. Persistent high pressure and lack of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover limit radiative cooling, consistent with climatological norms of 75°F average lows but elevated by recent hot, humid conditions. These factors produce tight forecast spreads around 79–81°F, with differentiation among market bins driven by small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact humidity, and urban heat-island effects that could shift the reading a few degrees. No major pattern changes are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
71°F or below 67%
90°F or higher 55%
72-73°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
71°F or below
67%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
55%
71°F or below 67%
90°F or higher 55%
72-73°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
71°F or below
67%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and dew points near 70°F overnight into August 29, supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s across Dallas. Persistent high pressure and lack of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover limit radiative cooling, consistent with climatological norms of 75°F average lows but elevated by recent hot, humid conditions. These factors produce tight forecast spreads around 79–81°F, with differentiation among market bins driven by small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact humidity, and urban heat-island effects that could shift the reading a few degrees. No major pattern changes are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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