Recent NWS and model guidance for Los Angeles on August 29 point to overnight lows near 70°F under mostly clear conditions transitioning to patchy marine-layer fog after midnight, with southwest winds near 15 mph. This positions the minimum temperature in the 70-72°F range at official stations like LAX, consistent with climatological late-August norms of 65-72°F. Trader odds cluster tightly because small variations in fog onset, radiative cooling rates under clear skies, or exact wind timing could shift the low by 2-5°F. Stronger onshore flow or earlier stratus could push readings toward 65°F or below, while delayed marine influence or urban heat retention supports 72-73°F. Updated evening model runs and the NHC-adjacent marine forecast will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
65°F or below 50%
66-67°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
50%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
47%
84°F or higher
47%
65°F or below 50%
66-67°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
$0 Vol.
50%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
49%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
49%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
49%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
49%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
49%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
47%
84°F or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and model guidance for Los Angeles on August 29 point to overnight lows near 70°F under mostly clear conditions transitioning to patchy marine-layer fog after midnight, with southwest winds near 15 mph. This positions the minimum temperature in the 70-72°F range at official stations like LAX, consistent with climatological late-August norms of 65-72°F. Trader odds cluster tightly because small variations in fog onset, radiative cooling rates under clear skies, or exact wind timing could shift the low by 2-5°F. Stronger onshore flow or earlier stratus could push readings toward 65°F or below, while delayed marine influence or urban heat retention supports 72-73°F. Updated evening model runs and the NHC-adjacent marine forecast will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and model guidance for Los Angeles on August 29 point to overnight lows near 70°F under mostly clear conditions transitioning to patchy marine-layer fog after midnight, with southwest winds near 15 mph. This positions the minimum temperature in the 70-72°F range at official stations like LAX, consistent with climatological late-August norms of 65-72°F. Trader odds cluster tightly because small variations in fog onset, radiative cooling rates under clear skies, or exact wind timing could shift the low by 2-5°F. Stronger onshore flow or earlier stratus could push readings toward 65°F or below, while delayed marine influence or urban heat retention supports 72-73°F. Updated evening model runs and the NHC-adjacent marine forecast will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS and model guidance for Los Angeles on August 29 point to overnight lows near 70°F under mostly clear conditions transitioning to patchy marine-layer fog after midnight, with southwest winds near 15 mph. This positions the minimum temperature in the 70-72°F range at official stations like LAX, consistent with climatological late-August norms of 65-72°F. Trader odds cluster tightly because small variations in fog onset, radiative cooling rates under clear skies, or exact wind timing could shift the low by 2-5°F. Stronger onshore flow or earlier stratus could push readings toward 65°F or below, while delayed marine influence or urban heat retention supports 72-73°F. Updated evening model runs and the NHC-adjacent marine forecast will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions