Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate to heavy rainfall totaling 10–30 mm. Persistent southerly flow and a broad monsoon trough limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sustaining dew points near 25°C, keeping overnight lows from falling sharply. Model consensus shows close agreement on daytime maxima near 30–32°C but greater spread on exact minimum timing due to variable shower intensity and cloud breaks overnight. Historical August climatology for the region averages 25°C lows, providing a baseline against which current moist, unstable conditions slightly elevate probabilities for 25–26°C outcomes in trader assessments. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
25°C 87%
23°C or below 66%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
66%
24°C
49%
25°C
87%
26°C
46%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C or higher
42%
25°C 87%
23°C or below 66%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
66%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
87%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
49%
31°C
$0 Vol.
49%
32°C
$0 Vol.
49%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate to heavy rainfall totaling 10–30 mm. Persistent southerly flow and a broad monsoon trough limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sustaining dew points near 25°C, keeping overnight lows from falling sharply. Model consensus shows close agreement on daytime maxima near 30–32°C but greater spread on exact minimum timing due to variable shower intensity and cloud breaks overnight. Historical August climatology for the region averages 25°C lows, providing a baseline against which current moist, unstable conditions slightly elevate probabilities for 25–26°C outcomes in trader assessments. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate to heavy rainfall totaling 10–30 mm. Persistent southerly flow and a broad monsoon trough limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sustaining dew points near 25°C, keeping overnight lows from falling sharply. Model consensus shows close agreement on daytime maxima near 30–32°C but greater spread on exact minimum timing due to variable shower intensity and cloud breaks overnight. Historical August climatology for the region averages 25°C lows, providing a baseline against which current moist, unstable conditions slightly elevate probabilities for 25–26°C outcomes in trader assessments. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on August 30 most likely between 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate to heavy rainfall totaling 10–30 mm. Persistent southerly flow and a broad monsoon trough limit nocturnal radiative cooling while sustaining dew points near 25°C, keeping overnight lows from falling sharply. Model consensus shows close agreement on daytime maxima near 30–32°C but greater spread on exact minimum timing due to variable shower intensity and cloud breaks overnight. Historical August climatology for the region averages 25°C lows, providing a baseline against which current moist, unstable conditions slightly elevate probabilities for 25–26°C outcomes in trader assessments. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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