Recent forecasts indicate moderating heat in Wuhan on August 30 due to rain and cloud cover from typhoon peripheral flows, shifting trader consensus toward 32–33°C peaks. Official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources highlights northerly winds, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and reduced insolation that typically cap daytime maxima below recent 35–37°C readings. Model runs show precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% suppressing temperature rises, with historical analogs of similar late-August systems producing 1–3°C cooling. Key resolution hinges on exact maximum observations amid variable storm timing, with updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
32°C 31%
33°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
31%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
5%
32°C 31%
33°C 31%
34°C 16%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
31%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate moderating heat in Wuhan on August 30 due to rain and cloud cover from typhoon peripheral flows, shifting trader consensus toward 32–33°C peaks. Official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources highlights northerly winds, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and reduced insolation that typically cap daytime maxima below recent 35–37°C readings. Model runs show precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% suppressing temperature rises, with historical analogs of similar late-August systems producing 1–3°C cooling. Key resolution hinges on exact maximum observations amid variable storm timing, with updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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