Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate Wuhan will see a transition on August 29 from lingering summer heat to increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by peripheral flows associated with distant tropical systems. This pattern supports nighttime lows clustered around 24–28°C, with most guidance converging near 26°C amid elevated humidity and moderate northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in precipitation timing and local urban heat effects, keeping 26°C and 28°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Updated short-range runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine exact minimum thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
22°C or below 60%
32°C or higher 49%
26°C 45%
24°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
60%
23°C
10%
24°C
44%
25°C
41%
26°C
45%
27°C
27%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
49%
22°C or below 60%
32°C or higher 49%
26°C 45%
24°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
60%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
41%
26°C
$0 Vol.
45%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
43%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate Wuhan will see a transition on August 29 from lingering summer heat to increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by peripheral flows associated with distant tropical systems. This pattern supports nighttime lows clustered around 24–28°C, with most guidance converging near 26°C amid elevated humidity and moderate northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in precipitation timing and local urban heat effects, keeping 26°C and 28°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Updated short-range runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine exact minimum thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate Wuhan will see a transition on August 29 from lingering summer heat to increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by peripheral flows associated with distant tropical systems. This pattern supports nighttime lows clustered around 24–28°C, with most guidance converging near 26°C amid elevated humidity and moderate northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in precipitation timing and local urban heat effects, keeping 26°C and 28°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Updated short-range runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine exact minimum thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate Wuhan will see a transition on August 29 from lingering summer heat to increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by peripheral flows associated with distant tropical systems. This pattern supports nighttime lows clustered around 24–28°C, with most guidance converging near 26°C amid elevated humidity and moderate northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in precipitation timing and local urban heat effects, keeping 26°C and 28°C as the closest market-implied outcomes. Updated short-range runs from the next 24–48 hours will refine exact minimum thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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