Recent heavy rainfall and advection of cooler northern air, driven by easterly flow interacting with the monsoon trough, are suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing ahead of August 30. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance highlights persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and localized convection on the 29th–30th, limiting solar insolation and yielding center-city highs near 31 °C while western districts may stay cooler. International models diverge modestly—some projecting 26–27 °C under heavier stratiform rain, others nearer 33 °C if clearing occurs earlier—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29 °C. Traders are weighting local nowcasts against ensemble spread and the timing of any post-frontal clearing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at municipal stations. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
28°C 21%
26°C or below 20%
29°C 20%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
20%
27°C
16%
28°C
21%
29°C
20%
30°C
13%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
28°C 21%
26°C or below 20%
29°C 20%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$1,326 Vol.
20%
27°C
$172 Vol.
16%
28°C
$263 Vol.
21%
29°C
$109 Vol.
20%
30°C
$400 Vol.
13%
31°C
$252 Vol.
6%
32°C
$69 Vol.
4%
33°C
$137 Vol.
2%
34°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,758 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$748 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and advection of cooler northern air, driven by easterly flow interacting with the monsoon trough, are suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing ahead of August 30. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance highlights persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and localized convection on the 29th–30th, limiting solar insolation and yielding center-city highs near 31 °C while western districts may stay cooler. International models diverge modestly—some projecting 26–27 °C under heavier stratiform rain, others nearer 33 °C if clearing occurs earlier—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29 °C. Traders are weighting local nowcasts against ensemble spread and the timing of any post-frontal clearing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at municipal stations. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,615End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and advection of cooler northern air, driven by easterly flow interacting with the monsoon trough, are suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing ahead of August 30. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance highlights persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and localized convection on the 29th–30th, limiting solar insolation and yielding center-city highs near 31 °C while western districts may stay cooler. International models diverge modestly—some projecting 26–27 °C under heavier stratiform rain, others nearer 33 °C if clearing occurs earlier—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29 °C. Traders are weighting local nowcasts against ensemble spread and the timing of any post-frontal clearing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at municipal stations. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,615End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and advection of cooler northern air, driven by easterly flow interacting with the monsoon trough, are suppressing daytime heating across Chongqing ahead of August 30. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance highlights persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and localized convection on the 29th–30th, limiting solar insolation and yielding center-city highs near 31 °C while western districts may stay cooler. International models diverge modestly—some projecting 26–27 °C under heavier stratiform rain, others nearer 33 °C if clearing occurs earlier—creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–29 °C. Traders are weighting local nowcasts against ensemble spread and the timing of any post-frontal clearing, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at municipal stations. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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