Recent forecasts from major models position Ankara's August 30 maximum near 25–26°C, driving the near-even market split at 37% and 36.5% implied probability. A cooling northerly flow and residual moisture from showers on the 29th are limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, while moderate winds enhance mixing and cap peak values. Historical late-August baselines for the region average 28–30°C, making current guidance notably below normal. Resolution hinges on final model consensus and official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service; traders weigh small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and insolation timing that separate a 25°C from a 26°C outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
38%
26°C
37%
27°C
16%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$161 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$195 Vol.
1%
23°C
$106 Vol.
3%
24°C
$445 Vol.
7%
25°C
$670 Vol.
38%
26°C
$293 Vol.
37%
27°C
$284 Vol.
16%
28°C
$131 Vol.
3%
29°C
$235 Vol.
2%
30°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models position Ankara's August 30 maximum near 25–26°C, driving the near-even market split at 37% and 36.5% implied probability. A cooling northerly flow and residual moisture from showers on the 29th are limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, while moderate winds enhance mixing and cap peak values. Historical late-August baselines for the region average 28–30°C, making current guidance notably below normal. Resolution hinges on final model consensus and official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service; traders weigh small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and insolation timing that separate a 25°C from a 26°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,959End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models position Ankara's August 30 maximum near 25–26°C, driving the near-even market split at 37% and 36.5% implied probability. A cooling northerly flow and residual moisture from showers on the 29th are limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, while moderate winds enhance mixing and cap peak values. Historical late-August baselines for the region average 28–30°C, making current guidance notably below normal. Resolution hinges on final model consensus and official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service; traders weigh small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and insolation timing that separate a 25°C from a 26°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,959End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models position Ankara's August 30 maximum near 25–26°C, driving the near-even market split at 37% and 36.5% implied probability. A cooling northerly flow and residual moisture from showers on the 29th are limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, while moderate winds enhance mixing and cap peak values. Historical late-August baselines for the region average 28–30°C, making current guidance notably below normal. Resolution hinges on final model consensus and official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service; traders weigh small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and insolation timing that separate a 25°C from a 26°C outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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