**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and others converge on a minimum temperature of 12–14°C for Ankara on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling.** These conditions follow a frontal passage or instability, keeping dew points supportive of modest lows around 10–13°C rather than sharper drops under clear skies. Ensemble spread creates the tight clustering of market probabilities around 12–14°C (each near 26.5%), while the 27% on 19°C or higher likely reflects outlier warmer runs if precipitation ends early and skies clear. Stronger winds or sustained cloudiness would favor the lower end of this range, consistent with recent model updates showing 23°C highs paired with 12–14°C overnight minima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
19°C or higher 54%
16°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
49%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
54%
19°C or higher 54%
16°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$10 Vol.
49%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
8%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and others converge on a minimum temperature of 12–14°C for Ankara on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling.**
These conditions follow a frontal passage or instability, keeping dew points supportive of modest lows around 10–13°C rather than sharper drops under clear skies. Ensemble spread creates the tight clustering of market probabilities around 12–14°C (each near 26.5%), while the 27% on 19°C or higher likely reflects outlier warmer runs if precipitation ends early and skies clear. Stronger winds or sustained cloudiness would favor the lower end of this range, consistent with recent model updates showing 23°C highs paired with 12–14°C overnight minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and others converge on a minimum temperature of 12–14°C for Ankara on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling.**
These conditions follow a frontal passage or instability, keeping dew points supportive of modest lows around 10–13°C rather than sharper drops under clear skies. Ensemble spread creates the tight clustering of market probabilities around 12–14°C (each near 26.5%), while the 27% on 19°C or higher likely reflects outlier warmer runs if precipitation ends early and skies clear. Stronger winds or sustained cloudiness would favor the lower end of this range, consistent with recent model updates showing 23°C highs paired with 12–14°C overnight minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and others converge on a minimum temperature of 12–14°C for Ankara on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly winds that limit nocturnal radiational cooling.** These conditions follow a frontal passage or instability, keeping dew points supportive of modest lows around 10–13°C rather than sharper drops under clear skies. Ensemble spread creates the tight clustering of market probabilities around 12–14°C (each near 26.5%), while the 27% on 19°C or higher likely reflects outlier warmer runs if precipitation ends early and skies clear. Stronger winds or sustained cloudiness would favor the lower end of this range, consistent with recent model updates showing 23°C highs paired with 12–14°C overnight minima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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