Recent heavy rainfall on August 27 disrupted the subtropical high-pressure ridge that had sustained elevated temperatures and humidity across the Sichuan Basin, introducing cooler air and cloud cover that models project will moderate surface heating through August 30. Ensemble forecasts from sources including PredictWind, Met Office, and regional guidance converge on daytime maxima of 31–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, light northerly winds, and reduced insolation. These conditions differentiate the closely matched market probabilities around 31–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud persistence or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1 °C either way, while clearer intervals or lingering moisture would cap or elevate readings relative to climatological late-August norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
12%
31°C
20%
32°C
21%
33°C
18%
34°C
10%
35°C
8%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
3%
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$0 Vol.
21%
33°C
$0 Vol.
18%
34°C
$2 Vol.
10%
35°C
$2 Vol.
8%
36°C
$12 Vol.
6%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall on August 27 disrupted the subtropical high-pressure ridge that had sustained elevated temperatures and humidity across the Sichuan Basin, introducing cooler air and cloud cover that models project will moderate surface heating through August 30. Ensemble forecasts from sources including PredictWind, Met Office, and regional guidance converge on daytime maxima of 31–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, light northerly winds, and reduced insolation. These conditions differentiate the closely matched market probabilities around 31–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud persistence or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1 °C either way, while clearer intervals or lingering moisture would cap or elevate readings relative to climatological late-August norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$36End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall on August 27 disrupted the subtropical high-pressure ridge that had sustained elevated temperatures and humidity across the Sichuan Basin, introducing cooler air and cloud cover that models project will moderate surface heating through August 30. Ensemble forecasts from sources including PredictWind, Met Office, and regional guidance converge on daytime maxima of 31–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, light northerly winds, and reduced insolation. These conditions differentiate the closely matched market probabilities around 31–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud persistence or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1 °C either way, while clearer intervals or lingering moisture would cap or elevate readings relative to climatological late-August norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall on August 27 disrupted the subtropical high-pressure ridge that had sustained elevated temperatures and humidity across the Sichuan Basin, introducing cooler air and cloud cover that models project will moderate surface heating through August 30. Ensemble forecasts from sources including PredictWind, Met Office, and regional guidance converge on daytime maxima of 31–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, light northerly winds, and reduced insolation. These conditions differentiate the closely matched market probabilities around 31–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud persistence or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1 °C either way, while clearer intervals or lingering moisture would cap or elevate readings relative to climatological late-August norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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