Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 30 will likely reach 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny skies following scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Northerly winds and a seasonal cooling trend from peak summer warmth are moderating daytime highs, with dew points around 17–19°C limiting moisture and instability. Official guidance shows model consensus favoring 27°C as the most probable peak, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range amid typical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
26°C 46%
27°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
7%
25°C
14%
26°C
46%
27°C
31%
28°C
10%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
4%
26°C 46%
27°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$40 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
14%
26°C
$39 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 30 will likely reach 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny skies following scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Northerly winds and a seasonal cooling trend from peak summer warmth are moderating daytime highs, with dew points around 17–19°C limiting moisture and instability. Official guidance shows model consensus favoring 27°C as the most probable peak, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range amid typical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$79End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 30 will likely reach 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny skies following scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Northerly winds and a seasonal cooling trend from peak summer warmth are moderating daytime highs, with dew points around 17–19°C limiting moisture and instability. Official guidance shows model consensus favoring 27°C as the most probable peak, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range amid typical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 30 will likely reach 26–28°C under partly to mostly sunny skies following scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Northerly winds and a seasonal cooling trend from peak summer warmth are moderating daytime highs, with dew points around 17–19°C limiting moisture and instability. Official guidance shows model consensus favoring 27°C as the most probable peak, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range amid typical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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