**Clear skies and northwesterly flow are positioning Beijing for a peak near 31–33 °C on 30 August.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover after a period of rain and overcast skies on 28 August. These factors favor strong daytime solar heating and a modest diurnal range, with afternoon maxima expected to reach or slightly exceed the late-August climatological normal of ~29–30 °C. Traders’ concentration on the 32–33 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread across short-range forecasts, where small differences in timing of clearing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether conditions support the upper or lower end of that range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
33°C 44%
32°C 32%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
32%
33°C
44%
34°C
18%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
32°C 32%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$83 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$45 Vol.
5%
31°C
$252 Vol.
8%
32°C
$175 Vol.
32%
33°C
$328 Vol.
44%
34°C
$224 Vol.
18%
35°C
$21 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$3 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and northwesterly flow are positioning Beijing for a peak near 31–33 °C on 30 August.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover after a period of rain and overcast skies on 28 August. These factors favor strong daytime solar heating and a modest diurnal range, with afternoon maxima expected to reach or slightly exceed the late-August climatological normal of ~29–30 °C. Traders’ concentration on the 32–33 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread across short-range forecasts, where small differences in timing of clearing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether conditions support the upper or lower end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$871End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and northwesterly flow are positioning Beijing for a peak near 31–33 °C on 30 August.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover after a period of rain and overcast skies on 28 August. These factors favor strong daytime solar heating and a modest diurnal range, with afternoon maxima expected to reach or slightly exceed the late-August climatological normal of ~29–30 °C. Traders’ concentration on the 32–33 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread across short-range forecasts, where small differences in timing of clearing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether conditions support the upper or lower end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$871End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and northwesterly flow are positioning Beijing for a peak near 31–33 °C on 30 August.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models shows mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover after a period of rain and overcast skies on 28 August. These factors favor strong daytime solar heating and a modest diurnal range, with afternoon maxima expected to reach or slightly exceed the late-August climatological normal of ~29–30 °C. Traders’ concentration on the 32–33 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread across short-range forecasts, where small differences in timing of clearing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether conditions support the upper or lower end of that range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions