**Forecasts from NWS, WeatherBug, and other sources indicate a Sunday, August 30 low in the mid-60s°F for coastal Los Angeles stations like LAX, with values clustered near 66°F amid developing marine layer conditions.** After several days of elevated temperatures (highs 85–96°F and overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s through August 28), a cooling trend is underway. Southwest winds and the return of the typical marine layer—low clouds and fog overnight—are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Official point forecasts show Sunday lows around 66–68°F, with patchy fog possible into the morning before clearing. The closely matched market probabilities across the 62–73°F bins reflect remaining model spread in marine-layer depth, wind speeds, and exact timing of any clearing. Stronger onshore flow or thicker stratus would favor the lower bins (mid-60s or below), while lighter winds and more clearing could support readings nearer 68–70°F. Historical August 30 lows average near 65°F, providing context for the current setup. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key drivers for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 30?
68-69°F 27%
62-63°F 26%
64-65°F 26%
66-67°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
20%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
16%
78°F or higher
25%
68-69°F 27%
62-63°F 26%
64-65°F 26%
66-67°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$5 Vol.
20%
60-61°F
$5 Vol.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$16 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
16%
78°F or higher
$5 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from NWS, WeatherBug, and other sources indicate a Sunday, August 30 low in the mid-60s°F for coastal Los Angeles stations like LAX, with values clustered near 66°F amid developing marine layer conditions.**
After several days of elevated temperatures (highs 85–96°F and overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s through August 28), a cooling trend is underway. Southwest winds and the return of the typical marine layer—low clouds and fog overnight—are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Official point forecasts show Sunday lows around 66–68°F, with patchy fog possible into the morning before clearing.
The closely matched market probabilities across the 62–73°F bins reflect remaining model spread in marine-layer depth, wind speeds, and exact timing of any clearing. Stronger onshore flow or thicker stratus would favor the lower bins (mid-60s or below), while lighter winds and more clearing could support readings nearer 68–70°F. Historical August 30 lows average near 65°F, providing context for the current setup. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key drivers for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$31End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from NWS, WeatherBug, and other sources indicate a Sunday, August 30 low in the mid-60s°F for coastal Los Angeles stations like LAX, with values clustered near 66°F amid developing marine layer conditions.**
After several days of elevated temperatures (highs 85–96°F and overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s through August 28), a cooling trend is underway. Southwest winds and the return of the typical marine layer—low clouds and fog overnight—are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Official point forecasts show Sunday lows around 66–68°F, with patchy fog possible into the morning before clearing.
The closely matched market probabilities across the 62–73°F bins reflect remaining model spread in marine-layer depth, wind speeds, and exact timing of any clearing. Stronger onshore flow or thicker stratus would favor the lower bins (mid-60s or below), while lighter winds and more clearing could support readings nearer 68–70°F. Historical August 30 lows average near 65°F, providing context for the current setup. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key drivers for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from NWS, WeatherBug, and other sources indicate a Sunday, August 30 low in the mid-60s°F for coastal Los Angeles stations like LAX, with values clustered near 66°F amid developing marine layer conditions.** After several days of elevated temperatures (highs 85–96°F and overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s through August 28), a cooling trend is underway. Southwest winds and the return of the typical marine layer—low clouds and fog overnight—are expected to limit radiative cooling and keep minimums from dropping sharply. Official point forecasts show Sunday lows around 66–68°F, with patchy fog possible into the morning before clearing. The closely matched market probabilities across the 62–73°F bins reflect remaining model spread in marine-layer depth, wind speeds, and exact timing of any clearing. Stronger onshore flow or thicker stratus would favor the lower bins (mid-60s or below), while lighter winds and more clearing could support readings nearer 68–70°F. Historical August 30 lows average near 65°F, providing context for the current setup. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key drivers for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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