Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple sources project a daily maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Karachi on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, strong southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns with suppressed monsoon activity linked to ongoing El Niño conditions over the Arabian Sea, which have produced the lowest August rainfall in nearly three decades and reduced cloud-driven cooling contrasts compared to typical monsoon patterns. Historical August maxima average near 32°C, but recent observations show daily highs mostly in the 29–31°C range amid elevated humidity near 65–80% that moderates peak heating. Updated model consensus ahead of the date will refine these outcomes, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 30–31°C thresholds based on this guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
31°C 47%
30°C 31%
32°C 16%
28°C 4.9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
31%
31°C
47%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
30°C 31%
32°C 16%
28°C 4.9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
31%
31°C
47%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple sources project a daily maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Karachi on August 30, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, strong southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns with suppressed monsoon activity linked to ongoing El Niño conditions over the Arabian Sea, which have produced the lowest August rainfall in nearly three decades and reduced cloud-driven cooling contrasts compared to typical monsoon patterns. Historical August maxima average near 32°C, but recent observations show daily highs mostly in the 29–31°C range amid elevated humidity near 65–80% that moderates peak heating. Updated model consensus ahead of the date will refine these outcomes, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 30–31°C thresholds based on this guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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