Current forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international sources project a maximum of 15–16°C for Cape Town on August 30 under building high pressure, partly cloudy skies, and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds. Late-winter conditions typical for the Mediterranean climate—cooled by the Benguela Current—limit warming, with no significant warm advection or clear-sky heating expected. Recent model runs show stable output with minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, aligning with historical August maxima near 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16–17°C, consistent with slight upside potential from variable wind or insolation but constrained by the cool marine influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
17°C 44%
16°C 22%
18°C 22%
19°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
44%
18°C
22%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 44%
16°C 22%
18°C 22%
19°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$22 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$171 Vol.
1%
14°C
$111 Vol.
2%
15°C
$231 Vol.
5%
16°C
$325 Vol.
22%
17°C
$627 Vol.
44%
18°C
$126 Vol.
22%
19°C
$108 Vol.
6%
20°C
$22 Vol.
1%
21°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$134 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international sources project a maximum of 15–16°C for Cape Town on August 30 under building high pressure, partly cloudy skies, and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds. Late-winter conditions typical for the Mediterranean climate—cooled by the Benguela Current—limit warming, with no significant warm advection or clear-sky heating expected. Recent model runs show stable output with minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, aligning with historical August maxima near 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16–17°C, consistent with slight upside potential from variable wind or insolation but constrained by the cool marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,910End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international sources project a maximum of 15–16°C for Cape Town on August 30 under building high pressure, partly cloudy skies, and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds. Late-winter conditions typical for the Mediterranean climate—cooled by the Benguela Current—limit warming, with no significant warm advection or clear-sky heating expected. Recent model runs show stable output with minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, aligning with historical August maxima near 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16–17°C, consistent with slight upside potential from variable wind or insolation but constrained by the cool marine influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,910End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international sources project a maximum of 15–16°C for Cape Town on August 30 under building high pressure, partly cloudy skies, and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds. Late-winter conditions typical for the Mediterranean climate—cooled by the Benguela Current—limit warming, with no significant warm advection or clear-sky heating expected. Recent model runs show stable output with minimal shifts over the past 48 hours, aligning with historical August maxima near 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 16–17°C, consistent with slight upside potential from variable wind or insolation but constrained by the cool marine influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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