Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate an expected overnight minimum near 8–12°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiational cooling under light southeasterly winds. This setup favors moderate lows typical of late-winter climatology, yet model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind strength creates uncertainty that balances trader-implied odds across colder (≤6°C) and warmer (≥16°C) outcomes. Key differentiators include potential for enhanced cooling if winds weaken overnight versus limited mixing if they strengthen, with final resolution hinging on the South African Weather Service’s official station reading at the end of the calendar day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
6°C or below 66%
16°C or higher 66%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
66%
7°C
41%
8°C
49%
9°C
25%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
45%
16°C or higher
66%
6°C or below 66%
16°C or higher 66%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
66%
7°C
$0 Vol.
41%
8°C
$0 Vol.
49%
9°C
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate an expected overnight minimum near 8–12°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiational cooling under light southeasterly winds. This setup favors moderate lows typical of late-winter climatology, yet model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind strength creates uncertainty that balances trader-implied odds across colder (≤6°C) and warmer (≥16°C) outcomes. Key differentiators include potential for enhanced cooling if winds weaken overnight versus limited mixing if they strengthen, with final resolution hinging on the South African Weather Service’s official station reading at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate an expected overnight minimum near 8–12°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiational cooling under light southeasterly winds. This setup favors moderate lows typical of late-winter climatology, yet model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind strength creates uncertainty that balances trader-implied odds across colder (≤6°C) and warmer (≥16°C) outcomes. Key differentiators include potential for enhanced cooling if winds weaken overnight versus limited mixing if they strengthen, with final resolution hinging on the South African Weather Service’s official station reading at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate an expected overnight minimum near 8–12°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and radiational cooling under light southeasterly winds. This setup favors moderate lows typical of late-winter climatology, yet model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind strength creates uncertainty that balances trader-implied odds across colder (≤6°C) and warmer (≥16°C) outcomes. Key differentiators include potential for enhanced cooling if winds weaken overnight versus limited mixing if they strengthen, with final resolution hinging on the South African Weather Service’s official station reading at the end of the calendar day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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