Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles point to a peak daytime temperature of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with westerly flow and moderate humidity. Cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers are expected to limit radiative heating and prevent temperatures from exceeding the seasonal average of roughly 31–32°C. This consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C, aligns with current numerical weather prediction runs showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Minor model spread around 30–32°C accounts for the secondary probabilities, while historical August extremes above 34°C remain unlikely given the anticipated synoptic pattern. Updated model guidance overnight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
31°C 64%
32°C 20%
30°C 9%
29°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
64%
32°C
20%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 64%
32°C 20%
30°C 9%
29°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
$453 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$233 Vol.
2%
30°C
$539 Vol.
9%
31°C
$689 Vol.
64%
32°C
$595 Vol.
20%
33°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles point to a peak daytime temperature of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with westerly flow and moderate humidity. Cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers are expected to limit radiative heating and prevent temperatures from exceeding the seasonal average of roughly 31–32°C. This consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C, aligns with current numerical weather prediction runs showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Minor model spread around 30–32°C accounts for the secondary probabilities, while historical August extremes above 34°C remain unlikely given the anticipated synoptic pattern. Updated model guidance overnight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,053End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles point to a peak daytime temperature of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with westerly flow and moderate humidity. Cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers are expected to limit radiative heating and prevent temperatures from exceeding the seasonal average of roughly 31–32°C. This consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C, aligns with current numerical weather prediction runs showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Minor model spread around 30–32°C accounts for the secondary probabilities, while historical August extremes above 34°C remain unlikely given the anticipated synoptic pattern. Updated model guidance overnight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,053End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles point to a peak daytime temperature of 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 30, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with westerly flow and moderate humidity. Cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers are expected to limit radiative heating and prevent temperatures from exceeding the seasonal average of roughly 31–32°C. This consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C, aligns with current numerical weather prediction runs showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Minor model spread around 30–32°C accounts for the secondary probabilities, while historical August extremes above 34°C remain unlikely given the anticipated synoptic pattern. Updated model guidance overnight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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