Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and WindBorne indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30 centering on 25–26°C under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity typical of the Mediterranean coast in late summer. Sea breezes and overnight cloud cover limit radiative cooling, keeping lows above the long-term August average near 24°C. Model consensus shows low variability, with minor chances of light drizzle exerting negligible influence on the overnight minimum. These conditions position 26°C as the leading outcome in trader sentiment while supporting elevated implied probabilities for the 24–25°C range, as small shifts in wind or cloud timing could adjust the precise low by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
37%
27°C
49%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
6%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
37%
27°C
49%
28°C
47%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and WindBorne indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30 centering on 25–26°C under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity typical of the Mediterranean coast in late summer. Sea breezes and overnight cloud cover limit radiative cooling, keeping lows above the long-term August average near 24°C. Model consensus shows low variability, with minor chances of light drizzle exerting negligible influence on the overnight minimum. These conditions position 26°C as the leading outcome in trader sentiment while supporting elevated implied probabilities for the 24–25°C range, as small shifts in wind or cloud timing could adjust the precise low by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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