Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv overnight lows near 23–26°C on August 29, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where high humidity, light winds, and coastal moderation limit nocturnal cooling below seasonal averages around 24°C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover have sustained elevated temperatures in recent days, reducing the likelihood of sharper drops while leaving room for minor variations from model runs or local sea-breeze effects. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered across the 23–28°C range, traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against the narrow historical range for the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
28°C or higher 69%
18°C or below 59%
26°C 26%
22°C 25%
18°C or below
59%
19°C
20%
20°C
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C or higher
69%
28°C or higher 69%
18°C or below 59%
26°C 26%
22°C 25%
18°C or below
59%
19°C
20%
20°C
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv overnight lows near 23–26°C on August 29, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where high humidity, light winds, and coastal moderation limit nocturnal cooling below seasonal averages around 24°C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover have sustained elevated temperatures in recent days, reducing the likelihood of sharper drops while leaving room for minor variations from model runs or local sea-breeze effects. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered across the 23–28°C range, traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against the narrow historical range for the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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