Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv of 24–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and high humidity near 80–90%, limiting radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minimum temperatures hover around 23–25°C amid stable subtropical high pressure and Mediterranean sea influence. Trader consensus favoring 24–25°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest overnight drops without significant frontal systems or unusual heat retention, though minor forecast revisions in dew points or wind could shift the exact minimum before resolution. Historical records show occasional dips to 23°C or below under clearer, drier nights, but recent stability supports the narrow probability distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
24°C 17%
22°C 1%
23°C 1%
21°C <1%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C
17%
25°C
55%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 17%
22°C 1%
23°C 1%
21°C <1%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C
17%
25°C
55%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv of 24–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and high humidity near 80–90%, limiting radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minimum temperatures hover around 23–25°C amid stable subtropical high pressure and Mediterranean sea influence. Trader consensus favoring 24–25°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest overnight drops without significant frontal systems or unusual heat retention, though minor forecast revisions in dew points or wind could shift the exact minimum before resolution. Historical records show occasional dips to 23°C or below under clearer, drier nights, but recent stability supports the narrow probability distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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