Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 32–34 °C in Tel Aviv on 28 August, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow that limits mixing and maintains above-normal heat. Current 10-day forecasts cluster near 31–33 °C, consistent with an ongoing late-summer warm spell already pushing daytime readings several degrees above the 1981–2010 climatological average of ~29–30 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away and no major model shifts or frontal passages expected, trader sentiment has converged on the 33 °C outcome as the most probable single value while still assigning meaningful probability to 32 °C and 34 °C within typical forecast uncertainty ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
33°C 65%
34°C 20%
32°C 16%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
65%
34°C
20%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
34°C 20%
32°C 16%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$219 Vol.
2%
32°C
$998 Vol.
16%
33°C
$1,149 Vol.
65%
34°C
$555 Vol.
20%
35°C
$209 Vol.
2%
36°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 32–34 °C in Tel Aviv on 28 August, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow that limits mixing and maintains above-normal heat. Current 10-day forecasts cluster near 31–33 °C, consistent with an ongoing late-summer warm spell already pushing daytime readings several degrees above the 1981–2010 climatological average of ~29–30 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away and no major model shifts or frontal passages expected, trader sentiment has converged on the 33 °C outcome as the most probable single value while still assigning meaningful probability to 32 °C and 34 °C within typical forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,376End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 32–34 °C in Tel Aviv on 28 August, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow that limits mixing and maintains above-normal heat. Current 10-day forecasts cluster near 31–33 °C, consistent with an ongoing late-summer warm spell already pushing daytime readings several degrees above the 1981–2010 climatological average of ~29–30 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away and no major model shifts or frontal passages expected, trader sentiment has converged on the 33 °C outcome as the most probable single value while still assigning meaningful probability to 32 °C and 34 °C within typical forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,376End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 32–34 °C in Tel Aviv on 28 August, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow that limits mixing and maintains above-normal heat. Current 10-day forecasts cluster near 31–33 °C, consistent with an ongoing late-summer warm spell already pushing daytime readings several degrees above the 1981–2010 climatological average of ~29–30 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away and no major model shifts or frontal passages expected, trader sentiment has converged on the 33 °C outcome as the most probable single value while still assigning meaningful probability to 32 °C and 34 °C within typical forecast uncertainty ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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