**Trader consensus in the Tel Aviv highest-temperature market heavily favors 33°C (72%) over 34°C (28%), reflecting model consensus from recent forecast runs showing a daytime maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Official guidance from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicates stable high pressure with minimal instability or advection of hotter air masses, keeping afternoon peaks from climbing into the mid-30s. Historical climatology for late August supports highs averaging around 30–32°C, and current observational trends through the morning hours align with these projections rather than warmer outliers. New model updates or unexpected cloud-clearing could shift the final recorded maximum, but current data place 33°C as the most probable outcome under existing atmospheric steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
33°C 72%
34°C 28%
32°C 2%
35°C 2%
NEW
$13,635 Vol.
NEW
$13,635 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
72%
34°C
28%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 72%
34°C 28%
32°C 2%
35°C 2%
NEW
$13,635 Vol.
NEW
$13,635 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
29°C or below
$189 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$833 Vol.
2%
33°C
$5,756 Vol.
72%
34°C
$1,538 Vol.
28%
35°C
$734 Vol.
2%
36°C
$1,314 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,526 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$656 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Tel Aviv highest-temperature market heavily favors 33°C (72%) over 34°C (28%), reflecting model consensus from recent forecast runs showing a daytime maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.**
Official guidance from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicates stable high pressure with minimal instability or advection of hotter air masses, keeping afternoon peaks from climbing into the mid-30s. Historical climatology for late August supports highs averaging around 30–32°C, and current observational trends through the morning hours align with these projections rather than warmer outliers. New model updates or unexpected cloud-clearing could shift the final recorded maximum, but current data place 33°C as the most probable outcome under existing atmospheric steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,635End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Tel Aviv highest-temperature market heavily favors 33°C (72%) over 34°C (28%), reflecting model consensus from recent forecast runs showing a daytime maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.**
Official guidance from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicates stable high pressure with minimal instability or advection of hotter air masses, keeping afternoon peaks from climbing into the mid-30s. Historical climatology for late August supports highs averaging around 30–32°C, and current observational trends through the morning hours align with these projections rather than warmer outliers. New model updates or unexpected cloud-clearing could shift the final recorded maximum, but current data place 33°C as the most probable outcome under existing atmospheric steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,635End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Tel Aviv highest-temperature market heavily favors 33°C (72%) over 34°C (28%), reflecting model consensus from recent forecast runs showing a daytime maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Official guidance from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicates stable high pressure with minimal instability or advection of hotter air masses, keeping afternoon peaks from climbing into the mid-30s. Historical climatology for late August supports highs averaging around 30–32°C, and current observational trends through the morning hours align with these projections rather than warmer outliers. New model updates or unexpected cloud-clearing could shift the final recorded maximum, but current data place 33°C as the most probable outcome under existing atmospheric steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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