Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 28 will likely settle near 12°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, light variable winds reducing mixing, and dew points around 11–13°C under a mild winter high-pressure influence. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 11–12°C outcomes because small differences in predicted clearing timing or wind shifts can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, consistent with historical August variability where minima average near 11–12°C but fluctuate with synoptic patterns. No major recent shifts have altered the outlook, leaving resolution sensitive to final model runs before the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 28?
11°C 47%
10°C 42%
12°C 42%
14°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
38%
10°C
42%
11°C
47%
12°C
42%
13°C
37%
14°C
39%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 47%
10°C 42%
12°C 42%
14°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
$85 Vol.
2%
8°C
$55 Vol.
4%
9°C
$0 Vol.
38%
10°C
$0 Vol.
42%
11°C
$0 Vol.
47%
12°C
$0 Vol.
42%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$122 Vol.
11%
16°C
$27 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 28 will likely settle near 12°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, light variable winds reducing mixing, and dew points around 11–13°C under a mild winter high-pressure influence. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 11–12°C outcomes because small differences in predicted clearing timing or wind shifts can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, consistent with historical August variability where minima average near 11–12°C but fluctuate with synoptic patterns. No major recent shifts have altered the outlook, leaving resolution sensitive to final model runs before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$331End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 28 will likely settle near 12°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, light variable winds reducing mixing, and dew points around 11–13°C under a mild winter high-pressure influence. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 11–12°C outcomes because small differences in predicted clearing timing or wind shifts can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, consistent with historical August variability where minima average near 11–12°C but fluctuate with synoptic patterns. No major recent shifts have altered the outlook, leaving resolution sensitive to final model runs before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$331End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 28 will likely settle near 12°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, light variable winds reducing mixing, and dew points around 11–13°C under a mild winter high-pressure influence. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 11–12°C outcomes because small differences in predicted clearing timing or wind shifts can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, consistent with historical August variability where minima average near 11–12°C but fluctuate with synoptic patterns. No major recent shifts have altered the outlook, leaving resolution sensitive to final model runs before the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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