**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model consensus for Cape Town International Airport and surrounding stations, indicate an overnight minimum of 11°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where radiative cooling under stable high-pressure influence often produces lows in the 10–13°C range, and recent model runs have converged on the lower end of that band without significant cold-air advection from the south. The market’s overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on 11°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observational thresholds and resolution criteria tied to official minimum readings. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or earlier passage of a weak front could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and calm conditions would reinforce or slightly lower it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 27?
11°C 99%
10°C 6.1%
8°C or below 4.5%
9°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
5%
9°C
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
93%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99%
10°C 6.1%
8°C or below 4.5%
9°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
$80 Vol.
5%
9°C
$40 Vol.
1%
10°C
$114 Vol.
6%
11°C
$152 Vol.
93%
12°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model consensus for Cape Town International Airport and surrounding stations, indicate an overnight minimum of 11°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where radiative cooling under stable high-pressure influence often produces lows in the 10–13°C range, and recent model runs have converged on the lower end of that band without significant cold-air advection from the south. The market’s overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on 11°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observational thresholds and resolution criteria tied to official minimum readings. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or earlier passage of a weak front could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and calm conditions would reinforce or slightly lower it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,211End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model consensus for Cape Town International Airport and surrounding stations, indicate an overnight minimum of 11°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where radiative cooling under stable high-pressure influence often produces lows in the 10–13°C range, and recent model runs have converged on the lower end of that band without significant cold-air advection from the south. The market’s overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on 11°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observational thresholds and resolution criteria tied to official minimum readings. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or earlier passage of a weak front could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and calm conditions would reinforce or slightly lower it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,211End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model consensus for Cape Town International Airport and surrounding stations, indicate an overnight minimum of 11°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where radiative cooling under stable high-pressure influence often produces lows in the 10–13°C range, and recent model runs have converged on the lower end of that band without significant cold-air advection from the south. The market’s overwhelming 95.5% implied probability on 11°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observational thresholds and resolution criteria tied to official minimum readings. A stronger-than-expected onshore flow or earlier passage of a weak front could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies and calm conditions would reinforce or slightly lower it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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