Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a mild overnight minimum in Amsterdam on August 30 driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting maritime air, combined with widespread cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling. Nighttime temperatures are projected near 14–16 °C, with the exact low hinging on the timing and duration of any clearer breaks that could allow greater heat loss to space. Historical August 30 minima average 12.5 °C, but the current pattern lacks the northerly or high-pressure setups needed for sharper drops. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with the 13 °C-or-below bin leading due to residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
13°C or below 68%
15°C 45%
19°C 45%
14°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
68%
14°C
42%
15°C
45%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
45%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
42%
13°C or below 68%
15°C 45%
19°C 45%
14°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
68%
14°C
$0 Vol.
42%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a mild overnight minimum in Amsterdam on August 30 driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting maritime air, combined with widespread cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling. Nighttime temperatures are projected near 14–16 °C, with the exact low hinging on the timing and duration of any clearer breaks that could allow greater heat loss to space. Historical August 30 minima average 12.5 °C, but the current pattern lacks the northerly or high-pressure setups needed for sharper drops. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with the 13 °C-or-below bin leading due to residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a mild overnight minimum in Amsterdam on August 30 driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting maritime air, combined with widespread cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling. Nighttime temperatures are projected near 14–16 °C, with the exact low hinging on the timing and duration of any clearer breaks that could allow greater heat loss to space. Historical August 30 minima average 12.5 °C, but the current pattern lacks the northerly or high-pressure setups needed for sharper drops. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with the 13 °C-or-below bin leading due to residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a mild overnight minimum in Amsterdam on August 30 driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting maritime air, combined with widespread cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling. Nighttime temperatures are projected near 14–16 °C, with the exact low hinging on the timing and duration of any clearer breaks that could allow greater heat loss to space. Historical August 30 minima average 12.5 °C, but the current pattern lacks the northerly or high-pressure setups needed for sharper drops. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with the 13 °C-or-below bin leading due to residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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