Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate typical late-summer subtropical conditions for Taipei on August 30, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and overnight lows most likely in the mid-20s °C range amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Trader consensus splitting between 31°C+ and 21°C or below reflects uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, driven by variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–90%, light easterly winds, and potential urban heat retention that can keep minimums elevated. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects may further modulate the daily minimum, while model spreads on precipitation timing introduce the main variable for resolution. Updated guidance from the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 30?
31°C or higher 60%
21°C or below 59%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
59%
22°C
42%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
60%
31°C or higher 60%
21°C or below 59%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
22°C
$0 Vol.
42%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate typical late-summer subtropical conditions for Taipei on August 30, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and overnight lows most likely in the mid-20s °C range amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Trader consensus splitting between 31°C+ and 21°C or below reflects uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, driven by variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–90%, light easterly winds, and potential urban heat retention that can keep minimums elevated. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects may further modulate the daily minimum, while model spreads on precipitation timing introduce the main variable for resolution. Updated guidance from the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate typical late-summer subtropical conditions for Taipei on August 30, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and overnight lows most likely in the mid-20s °C range amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Trader consensus splitting between 31°C+ and 21°C or below reflects uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, driven by variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–90%, light easterly winds, and potential urban heat retention that can keep minimums elevated. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects may further modulate the daily minimum, while model spreads on precipitation timing introduce the main variable for resolution. Updated guidance from the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate typical late-summer subtropical conditions for Taipei on August 30, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and overnight lows most likely in the mid-20s °C range amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Trader consensus splitting between 31°C+ and 21°C or below reflects uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, driven by variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–90%, light easterly winds, and potential urban heat retention that can keep minimums elevated. Afternoon convection and sea-breeze effects may further modulate the daily minimum, while model spreads on precipitation timing introduce the main variable for resolution. Updated guidance from the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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