Recent Central Weather Bureau forecasts for Taipei point to overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 28 amid persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers that reduce radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and limited clear-sky periods further moderate temperature drops, while urban heat retention and weak pressure gradients limit advection of cooler air. Model runs show minor disagreements on exact timing and extent of any brief clearing, creating the tight market spread between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next updated guidance and satellite trends ahead of the overnight minimum window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 28?
28°C 50%
27°C 46%
29°C 42%
26°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
24%
25°C
25%
26°C
35%
27°C
46%
28°C
50%
29°C
42%
30°C
15%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 50%
27°C 46%
29°C 42%
26°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$72 Vol.
1%
23°C
$104 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
46%
28°C
$0 Vol.
50%
29°C
$0 Vol.
42%
30°C
$172 Vol.
15%
31°C
$47 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Bureau forecasts for Taipei point to overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 28 amid persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers that reduce radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and limited clear-sky periods further moderate temperature drops, while urban heat retention and weak pressure gradients limit advection of cooler air. Model runs show minor disagreements on exact timing and extent of any brief clearing, creating the tight market spread between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next updated guidance and satellite trends ahead of the overnight minimum window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$436End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Bureau forecasts for Taipei point to overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 28 amid persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers that reduce radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and limited clear-sky periods further moderate temperature drops, while urban heat retention and weak pressure gradients limit advection of cooler air. Model runs show minor disagreements on exact timing and extent of any brief clearing, creating the tight market spread between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next updated guidance and satellite trends ahead of the overnight minimum window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$436End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Bureau forecasts for Taipei point to overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 28 amid persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers that reduce radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and limited clear-sky periods further moderate temperature drops, while urban heat retention and weak pressure gradients limit advection of cooler air. Model runs show minor disagreements on exact timing and extent of any brief clearing, creating the tight market spread between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities. Traders are monitoring the next updated guidance and satellite trends ahead of the overnight minimum window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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